Arab countries are pure and untouched vessels of Islam. Maybe this accounts for the chaos, corruption, violence, war, poor democratic and legal systems, maltreatment of women, ignoring the disabled, the economic disparities and backwardness of these sons and daughters of god.
Egypt is Sick
The Global Burden of Disease measure published in the Lancet has Egypt one of the sickest places on earth – hugely worse than Palestine, Indonesia and Jordan, worse than North Korea and about the same as war torn Libya. Russia is shocking. If you are worse than Palestine the Junta should just give up and commit Hari Kiri. https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPd ... %2931467-2
Tourists need this information – and should get it, whatever ‘getting it’ means.
Unfortunately health and medicine in most Muslim countries is not good (but in some cases heading in the right direction like Indonesia) and many have problems with careful planning including the outbreak/prevention of a disease like AIDS and others that lurk like treatment-resistant TB, Dengue that are on Egypt’s speedometer – a speedometer it doesn’t look at. With AIDS and the others, particularly ‘women’s diseases’, there is an avoidance, prudery or worse which means silence and therefore things that are manageable get out of control because not caught early.
So the general health situation is amongst the worst in the world and much worse than poorer countries but it gets worse in relation to particular diseases where there are social/moral/religious/legal sanctions.
Sex Education is No Good
Treatment for AIDS is now cheap, simple, avoidance is even simpler but requires direct information. Non treatment is costly particularly for pregnant mums/infected babies/contaminated blood supplies and infected people who spread it further.
In Egypt only 1 in 20 or young people under 24 years knows anything about AIDS and how to avoid it and this statistic is consistent with many others in Egypt caused by family avoidance of sex information and schools running a mile from biology.
With poor knowledge after 40 years of the disease ignorance is a superb basis – for the disease getting out of control.
At the other end of the spectrum moral giants like Nelson Mandela have led the continent into facing up to its responsibilities and others like Mugabe’s 1st wife (not the current horror) have done an excellent job from a very early date in the mid 80’s. Joyce Banda (horrible father) of Malawi has also done well as have other, generally female leaders, who understood what leadership involves other than hiding in a Heliopolis palace with a wife barely visible.
Woman to the Fore – in places where they have rights.
A significant part of all successful campaigns involves a fundamental shift in the rights of woman to resist sexual advances and demand their husbands observe protection and restrict other contacts. In ways we don’t yet fully understand AIDS has shifted power to women and children in some countries and away from men. Such things do not exist in most of Egypt but can have many benefits well beyond sex.
Fear Makes it Worse.
Given the sexual and drug-addiction content of infection, culture and control are big issues as is fear, probably leading to huge underreporting/avoidance of testing. If people don’t get tested they risk infecting others. Its therefore likely that public statistics are out – possibly hugely – and the government has little interest in stats collection even for non-stigmatized diseases.
If you do test and get treatment expect health workers to treat you badly even at university hospitals. https://link.springer.com/article/10.10 ... 016-7848-x A 2016 academic study of Tanta.
Religion is no Good.
In the west all the Christian religions combined in active programs to ‘manage’ public opinion and provide services. RAIN in the US was a leader although little happened in the UK. In Australia feisty nuns and many priests abandoned the rules and mucked in with the hard work whatever their congregations thought. The Papacy was clear about the supremacy of human rights over mere moral scruples. The position of al Azhar is unclear or in defiance of the science and common sense – as always. https://www.carolinarain.org/
The Intelligentsia.
Hollywood, famous writers and Broadway spoke with one calm voice and its productions penetrated the entire world. The major universities and Nobel Prize winners followed. In Egypt such characters are silent on all community issues for fear of imprisonment or social exclusion.
The Media.
The garbage Murdoch media did what you would expect whilst the serious did the pulling to get a rational debate going. TV as always was near hysterical. In Egypt the media does only one thing – what it’s told to do.
AIDS Is Emerging in Middle East Countries
Whilst AIDS infection rates have been low to date in the Islamic world many Muslim countries are increasing whilst those where it was worst have it under control.
Middle East Stats
The absolute numbers infected in the Middle East are low but inattention to risk/growth is appalling – compared with the rest of the world. This is hard to believe because we now know a lot about how to avoid AIDS. Here is an official graph of increases and decreases for 2001-11. Its near certain to have got worse since 2011. The growth patterns are clear.

On the other hand many and very poor countries where it was once large and out of control are now starting to turn the tide.
Between 2001 and 2012, the annual number of AIDS-related deaths in the Middle East/North African region more than doubled, while the worldwide number dropped by 16 percent. Poor countries like Mozambique, with terrible rates of infection and a poor health system, are getting on top of the problem. In Egypt its growing from a small base by 30-40% per year according to the UN. https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/un-voicin ... -1.3705661
The starting position was never good – but never admitted. In 2008 Egypt had a higher rate than India and China, higher than any country in the Middle East except Syria, higher than all of South America and higher than most of the decadent, promiscuous and depraved west. These are old figures but I’m ‘confident’ they are no better now and probably worse (UN figures).

So whilst absolute numbers in Egypt are small, rates of increase are not. Its increased by 76% between 2010 and 16 and new cases are increasing by nearly 30% a year. https://www.unicef.org/egypt/hivaids.
Almost unbelievably 2200 orphans aged 0-17 years have died and this raises other issues about prostitution/child abuse/child drug addiction that never get talked about by al Azhar or the Coptic Pope - but probably exist.
The WHO estimates about 100,000 injecting drug users in Egypt but that might be low - by a considerable degree. https://www.avert.org/professionals/hiv ... frica-mena
UNAIDS estimates about 23,000 prostitutes in Egypt, I guess this is a very low estimate, but with less than 1/7th using condoms is a sure open door into the broader community. http://www.unaids.org/en/regionscountri ... ries/egypt
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